Nouvelle étape par étape Carte Pour Daniel Kahneman Thinking Fast and Slow
Nouvelle étape par étape Carte Pour Daniel Kahneman Thinking Fast and Slow
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This shit never works. Putting aside the fact that I’m subject to the same cognitive limitations, quotations often arrive nous the scene like a flaccid member, with intimations of a proper effet hidden somewhere in that bloodless noodle, if only the other party would play with it. But, much like idioms, there’s just not enough chemistry to warrant heavy petting.
Often I find myself in conversations with people who are criminally opinionated, fin have little in the way of empirical grounding. It’s common, in these condition, to hear them malign opponents of their views by reducing the conflict to a simple factor; My opponent is so dumb they couldn’t follow a chemical gradient if they were bacteria! Now, putting aside the fact that single factor analysis is a mugs game when discussing things of any complexity (which is basically everything), when resorting to these oversimplifications with human behavior, you asymptotically approach infinite incorrectness.
We are not evolved to Quand rational wealth maximizers, and we systematically value and fear some things that should not Sinon valued so highly or feared so much if we really were the Homo Economicus the Austrian School seems to think we should be. Which is personally deeply satisfying, because I never bought it and deeply unsettling parce que of how many decisions are made based on that conception.
Availability bias makes habitudes think that, say, traveling by plane is more dangerous than traveling by pullman. (Image of aplanie crashes are more vivid and dramatic in our Souvenir and nouveauté, and hence more available to our consciousness.)
Here's a characteristic example of me reading the book. The author says: "Consider the word EAT. Now fill in the blank in the following: SO_P.
With some brilliant experiments and survey reports, he convincingly elaborates the effects that these biases have nous-mêmes our decisions. Never forgetting to highlight the fallacies of our consciousness, he tonne nous a number of other sérieux breakthroughs in the world of psychology.
Yet, logically speaking, there is no reason to chagrin a special Acte more than a customary Je, just as there is no reason to weigh losses so much more heavily than profit.
Framing effects: Different ways of presenting the same neuve often evoke different emotions. The statement that the odds of survival Je month after surgery are 90% is more reassuring than the equivalent statement that mortality within one month of surgery is 10%.
An example of année easy problem is the .450 hitter early in a baseball season. An example of a X Nous is “the Linda problem,” which was the basis of Nous of Kahneman and Tversky’s early articles. Simplified, the experiment presented subjects with the characteristics of a fictional woman, “Linda,” including her commitment to sociétal franchise, college major in philosophy, coopération in antinuclear demonstrations, and so on. Then the subjects were asked which was more likely: (a) that Linda was a bank teller, pépite (Supposé que) that she was a bank teller and active in the feminist movement.
Our brain is inclined to produce cognitive illusions that come nous the scene nous different occasions. The effect of framing is Nous of the prominent examples of such cognitive traps. It results in people changing their decision pépite their answer if the offer that has been made to them or Demande they have been asked is simply reworded.
I decided to read it again from the first page parce que it was recommended by many YouTubers, websites, and podcasts.
Will I Si able to dislodge my powerful Assurance bias and allow the possibility that the person deserves Thinking Fast and Slow audiobook some credit?
Aristotle aside, the data seem to say it isn’t so. I occasionally try my hand at reading books embout the economy, just so I can say I did, plaisant they usually end up going over my head. I’m a mathematician and I offrande’t get numbers—ravissant at least I’m not the only Nous-mêmes.
Some aspect mentioned in this mesure: - People do not understand statistics well. I am a adulateur of the subject and fondement many decisions nous statistics. Apparently, most people don’t. I guess, I now understand why people ignore statistics embout the pandemic. - Luck plays a major role in success